Followers of the Magpies are more and more viewing Eddie Howe's side as a fickle ally. At their brilliant best, they transform into the undisputed life of the party, producing high-octane performances. Yet, on other occasions, once-dependable figures like their midfield linchpin and his teammates utterly fail to appear.
Compounding this issue is a second-half game management suffused by a distinct element of disorganization. Before their Boxing Day to Manchester United, the numbers reveal a sobering story: the team has squandered thirteen vital top-flight leverage from winning positions this season and are yet to keep a clean sheet in ten consecutive games across all competitions. Earning a win at Old Trafford would constitute only their second-ever league success on the road this season.
Conversely, a loss has been tasted once in their most recent 6 league encounters, and although sitting in a seemingly lowly eleventh position, they are a mere 6 marks behind the coveted top four. Add in an impending two-legged Carabao Cup semi-final against Manchester City and a reasonable prospect of progressing to the Champions League knockout phase, and it is simpler to understand the gaffer's cautious optimism.
“Our issues aren't limited to difficulties,” stated the team's manager. “There are strengths as well. I am very much positive currently. I understand outside observers could have a different take, but my belief is we are getting better.”
The question remains: can this group match – or even surpass – the heights of the previous campaign's cup glory and fifth-place standing? Juggling a packed schedule makes this difficult.
The resulting fatigue may explain the inability to sustain a stellar first-half showing against their London rivals, eventually letting slip a two-goal advantage to draw 2-2. Similarly, it could be the reason for a poor display in a painful defeat to local rivals the Black Cats, where the team appeared off the pace just days after a grueling Champions League away day.
Although coaching is clearly the manager's forte, the relentless grind of twice-weekly football has drastically cut into crucial coaching sessions. This slows the squad's tactical adaptation to playing with summer signing Nick Woltemade up front, instead of the departed Alexander Isak. While extremely skilled, the German forward lacks the same searing counter-attacking pace or intense defensive work rate.
Indeed, the team's once-formidable high press has occasionally malfunctioned. Fitness issues to vital component Joelinton have not helped, while high-profile signings the Swedish winger and the English midfielder have struggled settling after their big-money transfers.
If a change to a three-man defense could theoretically help the team, a severe defensive injury list makes that difficult. Key full-backs will be absent for the next key fixtures, challenging the team's depth.
When playing at their energetic peak, they seem virtually unstoppable. The issue is maintaining that level for the full 90 minutes. The often-seen alternative approach of dropping deep into a deep-lying defensive shape has sometimes proven self-destructive.
“That match became disorganized at two-all,” said the coach. “But we were trying to win. Our mentality is to always try to win.”
What seems called for is a middle ground – involving superior ball control, a engine room adept of slowing the pace, and a sensible willingness to occasionally accept a point. However, a desire to challenge on every fronts is pushing thin player resources to their breaking point.
This might sound unthinkable to some, but a different approach in the cup competitions in the initial stages could have alleviated the current schedule congestion. Amid critical European and league games on the horizon, the need to carefully prioritize is growing increasingly apparent.
The manager recognized the size of the task ahead. “Being at a club of this size, the expectations are immense. Each game is crucial. We have work to do in the league. We are in the League Cup semi-finals, we want to go through in the Europe and do well in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the correct path, but we have plenty of improvement to do to transform into the consistently winning side we want to be. Our capacity to string together sequences of victories has deserted us so far.
“The objective is to reach those levels we know we're capable of. My feeling is that the self-belief we can do that is coming back. Yet now we have to show it. It ain't all doom and gloom currently, but the upcoming fixtures will shape a great deal.”